Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 1
AUX
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 0
RED
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
AUX
3 - 2
LEN
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
AUX
2 - 2
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 0
PSG
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |