Auxerre vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 0
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
GUI
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 5
AUX
31%
27%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
AUX
3 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
STR
1 - 2
LEN
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1995 |
LEN
0 - 1
SLP
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAN
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1995 |
SLP
0 - 0
LEN
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |