Auxerre vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 0
LHA
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
SOC
2 - 2
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
AUX
0 - 1
GIR
37%
29%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1986 |
REN
1 - 3
AUX
34%
30%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 2
STL
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
3 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
PSG
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
SOC
0 - 0
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |