Auxerre vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 0
MPL
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GIR
1 - 1
AUX
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 1
SED
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
LOR
0 - 1
AUX
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GUI
0 - 2
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 0
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
25%
25%
49%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LYO
3 - 0
GUI
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SED
1 - 1
GUI
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |