Auxerre vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 5
AUX
31%
27%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
AUX
3 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
GIR
0 - 1
AUX
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
NTT
0 - 0
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
LIL
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
REN
3 - 0
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
GUI
1 - 0
LYO
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
LEN
0 - 1
GUI
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 2
LHA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |