Auxerre vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
DIJ
0 - 1
AUX
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
LHA
2 - 1
AUX
26%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 1
ARL
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 0
ANG
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
GAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
GAZ
3 - 1
NAN
35%
29%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
GAZ
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 1
ANG
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
NÎM
0 - 1
GAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |