UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 4-2
Auxerre vs FC Farul Constanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
AUX
4 - 0
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
AUX
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAN
3 - 2
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
AUX
0 - 0
LMU
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Farul Constanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
LPL
1 - 1
FAR
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 1
LPL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 0
POB
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
POB
2 - 2
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
CLU
3 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |