Auxerre vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 2
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSG
11%
17%
73%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
AUX
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 2
DUN
6%
14%
80%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BET
0 - 0
DUN
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |