Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Auxerre vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1994 |
PSG
1 - 1
AUX
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
DZG
3 - 1
AUX
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
CAE
1 - 5
AUX
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
CAN
3 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
DZG
6 - 0
PRI
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
BEL
0 - 1
DZG
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
DZG
3 - 1
AUX
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
DZG
1 - 0
HNK
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
IST
1 - 3
DZG
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |