Auxerre vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
DIJ
1 - 0
AUX
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAB
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
AUX
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
AUX
0 - 0
BRE
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
LUS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 3
DIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASN
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |