Auxerre vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AUX
1 - 2
GAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
AUX
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ORL
4 - 0
AUX
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
AUX
1 - 1
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
REI
1 - 0
BOU
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 2
LYO
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
LHA
5 - 0
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |