Auxerre vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
25%
29%
46%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
3 - 0
AUX
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 0
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
ARS
1 - 2
AUX
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SCF
3 - 0
BVB
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
BVB
2 - 1
ARS
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 4
BVB
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |