Auxerre vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
GIR
6 - 1
AUX
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 1
PSG
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 0
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
AUX
1 - 0
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOU
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
MAR
5 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
GIR
4 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 2
PSG
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |