Auxerre vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
3 - 0
AUX
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
AUX
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
LEN
0 - 0
AUX
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
AUX
2 - 3
ASN
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
NAN
1 - 0
AUX
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
40%
27%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
STR
2 - 1
BAS
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 1
STL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |