Auxerre vs Angers SCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
16º
12º
23
12º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
AUX
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
4 - 0
REN
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 2
AUX
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 1
REI
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
AUX
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Angers SCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 4
PSG
8%
15%
78%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ANG
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANG
4 - 2
ASS
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 1
ANG
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ANG
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |