Auxerre U19 vs Montferrand U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
1º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 2
AUX
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 1
STR
60%
20%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 1
AUX
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AUX
3 - 0
SOC
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BBP
2 - 2
AUX
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Montferrand U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
PAR
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 6
DIJ
17%
19%
63%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
STR
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |