Auxerre U19 vs Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
1º
31
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 0
AUX
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 0
BOB
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORL
0 - 1
AUX
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 1
OLY
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
AUX
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BBP
0 - 0
PAR
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
BBP
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BBP
0 - 1
MET
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
BBP
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BBP
3 - 1
PAG
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |