Auxerre II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
11º
11º
46
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
1 - 2
ESW
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
AUX
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
FEI
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
AUX
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUX
3 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UST
0 - 1
FLE
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
BRC
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
LUS
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 2
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |