Auxerre II vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
11º
11º
37
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 3
AUX
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
FUR
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
AUX
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
FLE
22%
25%
54%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
OLY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
BIE
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FEI
0 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCS
55%
22%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUS
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |