Autol vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
AUT
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AUT
2 - 1
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
REB
0 - 1
AUT
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 0
PRM
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AGO
0 - 1
AUT
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
YAG
0 - 4
AGO
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
YAG
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
YAG
2 - 0
PRM
78%
13%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
YAG
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
YAG
2 - 0
CEN
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |