Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 2
AUT
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AUT
5 - 0
CFC
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AUT
0 - 3
AGO
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 3
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AUT
1 - 0
CDS
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RAP
5 - 1
CEN
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RRI
4 - 1
RAP
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RAP
2 - 1
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TED
5 - 1
RAP
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAP
1 - 0
BAÑ
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |