Autol vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
COM
1 - 3
AUT
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
5 - 0
ILO
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUT
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
4 - 1
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REB
0 - 3
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
REB
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TED
2 - 0
CFC
63%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
ALB
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RRF
2 - 2
CFC
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 2
HAR
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |