Auto Esporte vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BOT
27%
27%
45%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
AUT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
AUT
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
MIR
75%
16%
8%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
SOU
18%
22%
61%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |