Auto Esporte vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
2 - 0
DPB
56%
20%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
1 - 0
AUT
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AUT
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 1
ATL
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AUT
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
DPB
1 - 1
NAC
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
0 - 1
NAC
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |