Auto Esporte vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 1
CAM
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 3
CSP
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
AUT
2 - 0
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
BAH
12%
20%
68%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
5 - 1
CFC
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 3
BAH
14%
21%
66%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
4 - 0
FLU
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 4
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |