Austria XIII vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ADM
0 - 0
AUS
51%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 2
POS
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 0
SIM
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
AUS
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AUS
2 - 0
WIE
70%
17%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
OST
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 6
TEA
21%
22%
58%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GER
4 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |