Austria XIII vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 1
POS
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 2
WIE
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAV
3 - 1
AUS
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
OST
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAC
0 - 3
FOR
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
ADM
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
DON
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
STA
2 - 0
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |