Austria XIII vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 4
AUS
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SCW
3 - 2
AUS
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
FAV
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 3
AUS
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 2
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
DON
4 - 1
SIM
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DON
3 - 0
WIE
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ADM
0 - 1
DON
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
DON
1 - 1
GER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
DON
21%
23%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |