Austria XIII vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
AUS
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AUS
2 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
AUS
57%
22%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AUS
3 - 2
WIE
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POS
1 - 1
AUS
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DON
2 - 1
ADM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DON
4 - 2
ASV
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
DON
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DON
1 - 1
GER
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIE
0 - 0
DON
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |