Austria XIII vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
14º
11º
45
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RED
2 - 1
AUS
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
STA
34%
23%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 3
AUS
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 3
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAC
2 - 0
AUS
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 4
DON
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DON
1 - 3
FCW
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 3
DON
6%
12%
82%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DON
7 - 0
SKS
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |