Austria XIII vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AUS
1 - 3
WIE
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TAD
4 - 3
AUS
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
AUS
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DON
0 - 4
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCW
4 - 4
AUS
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DON
1 - 3
SKS
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
WIE
0 - 1
DON
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
DON
0 - 1
ROH
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
DON
0 - 2
KOT
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
DON
2 - 3
ROF
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |