Austria XIII vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
AUS
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AUS
3 - 1
FAV
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 3
AUS
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GER
0 - 2
AUS
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 1
TEA
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
GER
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
4 - 0
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DON
6 - 1
FIR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DON
1 - 3
DON
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
SCF
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |