Austria XIII vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 3
OST
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAC
0 - 3
AUS
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AUS
3 - 1
ADM
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 1
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
WIE
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
OST
2 - 1
DON
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
FAV
28%
22%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAC
2 - 2
DON
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DON
0 - 0
TEA
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |