Austria XIII vs ASV 13 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
AUS
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 2
GER
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WIE
1 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AUS
3 - 0
POS
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 2
AUS
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ASV 13
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 3
DON
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
3 - 0
ASV
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 3
ASV
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 2
GER
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
WIE
5 - 1
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |