Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
Austria Wien vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.3%
8.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
4 - 0
AUS
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STR
0 - 3
AUS
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
VLZ
2 - 0
AUS
34%
22%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AUS
3 - 1
WIE
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
1 - 1
AUS
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
VLZ
2 - 0
AUS
34%
22%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |