Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
2º
37
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 22 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 14 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 1
AUS
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
SKN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
AUS
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OED
2 - 3
AUS
6%
13%
81%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 1
LAS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
WOL
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
STR
4 - 1
KAP
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
4 - 2
WAT
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |