Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 0
FCK
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SVP
1 - 1
AUS
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
AUS
4 - 0
SVP
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 0
AUS
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
AUS
0 - 3
GRA
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
STR
1 - 1
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
RBS
1 - 0
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
SWB
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |