Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
0 - 3
AUS
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
FCB
3 - 0
AUS
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
AUS
2 - 1
RAP
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
RBS
2 - 0
AUS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
AUS
4 - 1
RBK
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
WIE
0 - 0
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
STR
1 - 1
VOR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
STR
1 - 2
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
RAP
2 - 1
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |