Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
AUS
2 - 1
AUK
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
SWA
1 - 0
AUS
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
AUS
0 - 2
GRA
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
LEV
5 - 1
AUS
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
VIE
1 - 1
AUS
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
STR
0 - 2
RAP
35%
25%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
AUK
0 - 1
STR
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
STR
1 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SWA
3 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
STR
3 - 1
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |