Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AUS
2 - 1
DIN
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
LIN
1 - 1
AUS
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
WAC
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
DIN
2 - 1
AUS
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
VIE
2 - 1
AUS
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
STR
0 - 0
59%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
WIE
1 - 1
STR
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
RAP
4 - 1
STR
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
LIN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
WAC
4 - 1
STR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |