Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1975 |
AUS
3 - 1
LIN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
LIN
1 - 1
AUS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1975 |
AUS
2 - 4
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 1975 |
STR
2 - 0
AUS
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
AUK
0 - 2
STR
32%
30%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
STR
1 - 0
AUK
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
STR
2 - 0
SSW
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1975 |
AUS
2 - 4
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |