Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1974 |
AUS
4 - 1
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
WIE
2 - 0
AUS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1974 |
AUS
2 - 3
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
SIM
2 - 1
AUS
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
AUS
1 - 0
RAD
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1974 |
STR
5 - 2
WIE
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
LIN
0 - 0
STR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
STR
3 - 2
SIM
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
RAD
3 - 0
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
STR
3 - 1
FRB
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |