Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1973 |
AWM
2 - 1
AUS
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 2
RBS
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
LAS
0 - 0
AUS
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
RAP
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
SSW
2 - 1
AUS
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
STR
1 - 0
AUK
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
SWB
2 - 0
STR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
EIS
0 - 1
STR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
STR
0 - 0
AWM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |