Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Austria Wien vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 0
RIE
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
RBS
0 - 1
AUS
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 0
RAP
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LAS
0 - 1
AUS
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AUS
5 - 1
MAT
55%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SIR
3 - 0
OLI
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
SIR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZRI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ZVI
1 - 1
SIR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
TRA
1 - 2
SIR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |