Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
3º
16
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
FCB
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
AUS
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
WAT
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 0
AUS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 2
WAT
37%
24%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 0
SCA
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SCA
2 - 0
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCA
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RBS
7 - 0
SCA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |