Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 4-2
Austria Wien vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 4
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
TNV
0 - 1
AUS
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AUS
3 - 1
MAT
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AUS
0 - 1
TNV
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RBK
3 - 1
SOG
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
VKG
0 - 2
RBK
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LSK
3 - 4
RBK
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
APO
3 - 0
RBK
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
RBK
2 - 1
APO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |