Austria Wien vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AUS
2 - 0
STR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
EBR
4 - 5
AUS
5%
12%
83%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 2
AUS
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 3
AUS
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
AUS
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EMP
0 - 0
ROM
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 3
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
4 - 1
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 3
AUS
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAP
1 - 3
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |