Austria Wien vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 2
AUS
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 2
SVP
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUS
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 0
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
AWM
0 - 5
AUS
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SEV
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 1
ZAR
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 0
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RSO
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |