Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Austria Wien vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
VIE
1 - 3
AUS
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AUS
1 - 0
LAS
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
RAP
0 - 0
AUS
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
AUS
6 - 1
SSW
71%
17%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUS
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
PAN
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
PAN
0 - 2
ARS
23%
26%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
PAN
4 - 2
JUV
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAN
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
PAN
1 - 2
ARG
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |