UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Austria Wien vs Nea Salamis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
AUS
4 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NEA
1 - 0
AUS
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 1
AUS
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
RIE
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 2
AUS
24%
28%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nea Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NEA
1 - 0
AUS
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
VLZ
1 - 2
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
NEA
4 - 1
VLZ
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
NEA
3 - 1
APO
38%
24%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
ALK
0 - 9
NEA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |